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The Signal and the Noise
5 recommendations

The Signal and the Noise

Why So Many Predictions Failbut Some Don't

by Nate Silver

Recommended by Bill Gates, Sophie Bakalar +
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About predictions in many domains besides politics.

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Recommended by 3 notable people, including Bill Gates and Sophie Bakalar

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Should I read this?

Recommended by 5 sources and appears in Economics, Most Recommended Books, and Finance.

"Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century." ?Rachel Maddow, author of Drift Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair?s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger?all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his sta...

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Why recommended

Recommended by 5 sources and appears in Economics, Most Recommended Books, and Finance.

Recommended by notable people

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Bill Gates

Bill Gates

Co-founder of Microsoft; co-chair of the Gates Foundation

About predictions in many domains besides politics.

Appears In

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
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Soft-spoken, heavily illustrated fable built from short dialogues and watercolor sketches. Each spread pairs a spare line of text with a loose drawing, so the pleasure is visual and aphoristic rather than narrative; readers collect felt-true sentences more than plot. Most useful when you want quick consolations, a prompt for conversation with a child, or a pause during a rough day. Limiting if you want sustained argument, concrete advice, or tightly plotted storytelling: the repetition of gentleness can feel sentimental or thin after a while.

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Each recommendation is collected from a public source — interviews, articles, or curated lists — and linked to its original URL. Books with many verifiable recommendations from respected people rank higher.

The Signal and the Noise

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