Thinking in Bets

Author, entrepreneur, and speaker

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”

“#todaysgoodread Superb book | @AnnieDuke A lot of Howard's latest memo is attributed to @AnnieDuke book, Thinking in Bets. I reviewed this book last year and would say it's a must read for anyone interested in trading and investing. (11/11) | @philreynolds @AnnieDuke I have read Thinking in Bets. Really enjoyed that part especially. Looking for a book with dozens of examples like that, given various contexts. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven?t. | @scott_seiver @AnnieDuke Because (in this order): a) the book is really good and I believe it is a net positive for the world if people read it and b) I have heard both sides of the story unlike almost everyone else which, with all due respect Scott, you haven’t. | A great book! | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, ?Wanna bet? If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | Amazing point: Would your belief in something stand up to the question, “Wanna bet” If you had to gamble significant money on that belief, would you still feel 100% about it Or maybe more honestly 60% This creates healthy skepticism encouraging you to seek the best information instead of just defending your belief. Now objective accuracy wins instead of argument. | An awesome book at an awesome price. Buy and read if you have not already! | I just read QUIT: The Power Of Knowing When To Walk Away by @AnnieDuke. This is the second @AnnieDuke book for me…the first was THINKING IN BETS an ENORMOUSLY helpful book during 2020 COVID decisionmaking! “Contrary to popular belief, winners quit a lot. That’s how they win.” | If you haven’t bought @AnnieDuke’s book yet, what are you waiting for! Heard her speak twice last week in Chapel Hill and they were simply two of best talks on Decision Making, Discipline and Strategy I have ever heard. | Separate decisions from outcomes. A good decision might still end in an undesirable outcome, and a bad decision might work out great. This was a massive insight from the book "Thinking in bets". It changed my thinking about decisionmaking. | The first chapter alone will change your life. | Thinking in Bets by @AnnieDuke Compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital. Best articulation of "resulting", drawing bad conclusions from confusing process and outcome. Recommend for people operating in the real world. | This book definitely falls in the category I loosely refer to as, “selfhelp,” which I typically skim more than dive into, but I read this book all the way through because I found the premise so intriguing.”